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Corresponding Author

S.U.R Aliyu

Authors ORCID

S.U.R Aliyu: ORCID: http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3712-4811

Document Type

Review

Subject Areas

African Trade

Keywords

Migration, Unemployment, AfCFTA, 2SLS, Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood, Africa.

Abstract

Abstract

This research explores the impact of migration within Africa on youth unemployment. The study makes two sig nificant contributions to existing literature. First, it investigates how intra-African migration can potentially support intra-African trade to enhance productivity and reduce youth unemployment. Second, it estimates the effects of intra African migration on male and female youth unemployment. The research methodology comprises using a two-level estimation involving the Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood (PPML) technique and a Two-Stage Least Squares approach addressing endogeneity bias. Furthermore, a Negative Binomial Maximum Likelihood estimator was utilized to test the model's robustness. The results indicate that higher per capita income in the destination country improved human development indicators, and a shared currency encouraged short-to-medium-term enhancements in intra-Africa migration. Moreover, political stability in the destination country, a common official language, and a combination of contingency and currency factors stimulate long-term increases in intra-Africa migration. In particular, the study re veals that intra-Africa migration contributes to reducing youth unemployment in Africa while also concurrently enhancing the ability of intra-African trade to reduce youth unemployment in the long run. These results are generally similar between males and females. The study recommends a broader implementation of the free visa policy for Africans under the African Continental Free Trade Area to mitigate the bourgeoning youth unemployment on the continent in the long term.

Receive Date

22/02/2024

Accept Date

30/09/2025

Publication Date

2025

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